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Key matchups and predictions for Week 11 in college football

Nov 12, 2026
Key matchups and predictions for Week 11 in college football

As college football approaches the critical Week 11, the stakes are higher than ever with conference championship games looming. This weekend's matchups are seismic, particularly in the Power Four leagues, as teams jockey for position in the College Football Playoff (CFP) race. With multi-loss teams needing to win out and favorites aiming to maintain their leads, the games promise to be thrilling. Key contests include USC vs. Indiana, Wake Forest vs. SMU, and Texas vs. LSU, each carrying significant implications for the playoff picture.

Analysts Brad Crawford and Chris Hummer have made their predictions for these crucial games, and the lines are tighter than ever. Both analysts have faced challenges this season, with Crawford expressing frustration over a disappointing 3-6 finish against the spread last week, while Hummer managed a more respectable 5-4 record. The pressure is on as they look to improve their standings in the prediction game.

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In the Wake Forest vs. SMU matchup, Hummer believes the game will hinge on defensive performance. Both teams boast top 10 passing offenses, averaging over 300 yards per game, but Wake Forest's strong run defense gives them an edge. Hummer predicts a close contest, favoring Wake Forest to edge out SMU with a score of 38-34. Crawford echoes this sentiment, noting Wake Forest's dominance in the ACC since an early-season loss to Miami, predicting a 41-31 victory for the Demon Deacons.

The Miami vs. Duke game features intriguing storylines, including the return of former Hurricanes coach Manny Diaz. Hummer expects Miami to come out strong, leveraging their top-ranked rushing defense against Duke's slower-paced offense. He predicts a 31-17 win for Miami, while Crawford remains optimistic about Miami's championship aspirations, projecting a 30-14 victory.

Ohio State faces Northwestern, and both analysts agree on the Buckeyes' potential to cover the spread. Hummer highlights Northwestern's struggles defensively, particularly against the run, while Crawford expresses concern over Ohio State's recent performances but ultimately picks them to win 28-13.

Tennessee's defensive edge against Texas A&M

Tennessee's matchup against Texas A&M raises questions about the Aggies' ability to score. Hummer points to Tennessee's elite defensive front as a significant advantage, predicting a 24-20 win for the Vols. Crawford, however, warns of the Aggies' need to convert red-zone opportunities, suggesting a close game that Tennessee will narrowly win, 23-20.

The Michigan vs. Oregon game presents a challenge for the Wolverines, who have struggled offensively against Power Four competition. Hummer questions Michigan's scoring ability and predicts a 24-17 win for Oregon. Crawford, on the other hand, believes Oregon will dominate, projecting a 27-16 victory.

The Final Whistle

In the USC vs. Indiana clash, both teams come off byes, with Indiana boasting the nation's top-ranked defense. Hummer predicts Indiana will slow USC's passing attack, leading to a 28-20 win for the Hoosiers. Crawford, however, is bullish on USC's resilience, favoring them to win 27-23 in a closely contested game.

As the weekend unfolds, the outcomes of these matchups will have far-reaching implications for the College Football Playoff landscape. Teams are not just playing for wins; they are fighting for their postseason lives, making every game a must-watch event as the season heads into its final stretch.

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